YOUR CHANCE

Don't leave your future to chance.

Giving Your Knowledge Half a Chance

1000 fair causally isolated coins will be independently flipped tomorrow morning and you know this fact. I argue that the probability, conditional on your knowledge, that any coin will land tails is almost 1 if that coin in fact lands tails, and almost 0 if it in fact lands heads. I also show that the coin flips are not probabilistically independent given your knowledge. These results are uncom...

Your chance to make a difference.

Forcing your luck: Goal-striving behavior in chance situations

Previous research suggests that desired end-states (i.e., goals) initiate a set of motivational processes supporting goal-attainment. For example, motivational intensity (e.g., effort investment) increases as distance to the goal decreases. The present studies investigate whether this goal-gradient can also be observed in chance determined situations, situations in which there is a desired end-...

Your chance to quiz a potential future UK health secretary.

The BMJ is co-hosting a UK general election hustings with representatives from the main political parties and is asking readers to join the debate by submitting questions. Participants in the event, which will be streamed live from the British Library at 11 am on Tuesday 21 April, will include Jeremy Hunt, Conservative health secretary; Norman Lamb, Liberal Democrat healthminister; AndyBurnham,...